How it finished
Slovenia beat North Macedonia 2–0. Bawler's model had Slovenia in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Slovenia had 16 shots (5 on target) to North Macedonia's 9 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Slovenia vs North Macedonia?
Slovenia beat North Macedonia 2–0. Bawler's model had Slovenia in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Slovenia had 16 shots (5 on target) to North Macedonia's 9 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Slovenia vs North Macedonia?
Slovenia 2–0 North Macedonia, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovenia 58%, the draw 25% and North Macedonia 16%.
What were the stats in Slovenia vs North Macedonia?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.5, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Slovenia vs North Macedonia?
No. It finished 2–0, so North Macedonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Slovenia vs North Macedonia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovenia or draw 84%, it finished Slovenia won (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished No.