How it finished
Peterborough United beat Watford 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Watford at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Peterborough United 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. Watford had 17 shots (5 on target) to Peterborough United's 19 (10), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Watford vs Peterborough United?
Peterborough United beat Watford 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Watford at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Peterborough United 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. Watford had 17 shots (5 on target) to Peterborough United's 19 (10), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 3.2.
What was the final score in Watford vs Peterborough United?
Watford 1–5 Peterborough United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 42%, the draw 27% and Peterborough United 31%.
What were the stats in Watford vs Peterborough United?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–3.2, Shots 17–19, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 11–14, Big chances 3–6, Corners 2–2, Saves 6–3, Fouls 7–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Watford vs Peterborough United?
Yes — both Watford and Peterborough United scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Watford vs Peterborough United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Watford or draw 69%, it finished Peterborough United won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.