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Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Roma
Roma crest

Roma

Italy: Serie A

Roma presents a balanced attacking profile with modest xG creation at 1.36 per match, supplemented by a relatively composed defence conceding 1.18—suggesting a side built on control rather than explosive threat. Their recent form reads positively across six settled fixtures, posting three wins and two draws against a single defeat, though the underlying metrics indicate consistency over domination. With no fixtures currently scheduled within the analysis window, the model's next opportunity to calibrate expectations arrives at the next confirmed matchday. Bawler's Banker selections on Roma have maintained a perfect 100% hit rate across six picks, indicating strong predictive alignment on this club's offensive and defensive tendencies.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.34+0.13 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.160.19 vs league
◇ = Italy: Serie A average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Roma were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Roma are above average there.

> xG performance · last 7 matches
012345vs Bologna: actual 3, xG 1.37vs Lecce: actual 1, xG 1.51@ Inter Milan: actual 2, xG 1.02vs Atalanta: actual 1, xG 1.26@ Parma: actual 3, xG 1.54vs Lazio: actual 2, xG 1.43@ Hellas Verona: actual 2, xG 1.23BolognLecce@Inter Atalan@ParmaLazio@Hellas
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +4.6 goals vs xG (+0.66/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Roma actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.16 xG per match · -0.19 vs league average of 1.35.
Bawler's edge: Result
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Roma fixtures (5/5).
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 4W / 2D / 1L · Avg goals 2.0 for, 1.6 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Roma's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
7
7 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.34
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.16
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
7/7 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Roma matches
100%
hit rate over 7 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Roma fixture, the model lands 7 out of 7 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Roma by market
Result100%5/5
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Roma fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Roma matches.

> Recent matches (last 7)

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