AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 17 shots (8 on target) to Fiorentina's 9 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 17 shots (8 on target) to Fiorentina's 9 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.3.
AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Roma 51%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 23%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.3, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 4–4, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 4–0, so Fiorentina failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 77%, it finished AS Roma won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.