AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction — Serie A · Mon 24 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Mon 24 Aug · 19:45 UK
AS Roma 51Draw 26Fiorentina 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
AS Roma or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 17 shots (8 on target) to Fiorentina's 9 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.3.

AS RomaFull-time statsFiorentina
61%Possession39%
2.8Expected goals (xG)0.3
17Shots9
8Shots on target4
13Shots inside box3
5Big chances0
2Corners3
4Saves4
15Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAS Roma or draw 77%AS Roma won (51% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score54%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AS RomaFiorentina
1.7
Goals+0.6
1.1
15.2
Shots+7.0
8.2
5.2
On target+2.4
2.8
5.4
Corners+2.4
3.0
AS RomaFiorentina
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
7.0
Shots+3.3
3.7
2.3
On target+1.1
1.2
2.5
Corners+1.1
1.4
AS RomaFiorentina
1.2
Goals+0.5
0.7
8.2
Shots+3.7
4.5
2.9
On target+1.3
1.5
2.9
Corners+1.3
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AS Roma to score82%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Fiorentina to score66%

First half — what we expected

AS Roma
50%
to score before half-time
Fiorentina
33%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

AS RomaFiorentina
7.01st-half shots3.7
2.31st-half shots on target1.2
2.51st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

64%Chance of 6+ shots20%
40%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target66%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target15%
67%Chance of 2+ corners39%
26%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · AS Roma7.08.2
Shots · Fiorentina3.74.5
Shots on target · AS Roma2.32.9
Shots on target · Fiorentina1.21.5
Corners · AS Roma2.52.9
Corners · Fiorentina1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Fiorentina in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 17 shots (8 on target) to Fiorentina's 9 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.3.

What was the final score in AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Roma 51%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 23%.

What were the stats in AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.3, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 4–4, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

No. It finished 4–0, so Fiorentina failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AS Roma vs Fiorentina right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 77%, it finished AS Roma won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →AS Roma form →Fiorentina form →