Bawler / France: Ligue 1 / Brest

Team profile

Brest Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots

11.2

a game

13.9 faced

On target

3.5

a game

4.7 faced

Goals

1.3 – 1.6

scored – conceded

a game, 34 matches

Next match

30%

Brest win chance

at Le Mans · Sat 22 Aug 18:45

Brest prediction: for Brest's next match — Le Mans vs Brest on Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Le Mans are favoured (42%).

Brest sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.41 expected goals a game and conceding 1.65. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 4. Next up is a trip to Le Mans, where the model has them as underdogs at 30%.

Brest in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.6

Home 1.6Away 0.9

3.9

Corners · per game

give up 5.8

Home 4.7Away 3.1

11.2

Shots · per game

faced 13.9

Home 13.9Away 8.6

3.5

On target · per game

faced 4.7

Home 4.5Away 2.5

Last 6 games

17 May

1-1

vs Angers

6-3

13 May

1-2

vs Strasbourg

5-4

10 May

0-1

@ PSG

2-13

03 May

0-4

@ Paris

3-7

24 Apr

3-3

vs Lens

0-6

19 Apr

1-1

@ Nantes

0-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Le Mans · Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win

30%

Brest

Draw

28%

Loss

42%

Le Mans

Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Brest compare with the France: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for

1.41

Below average

Goals against

1.65

Leakier than most

Record

0W 1D 3L

4 settled

Real goals

0.5 – 1.8

For / against, per match

Scored1.41

Conceded1.65

The grey line on each bar is the France: Ligue 1 average (1.58 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says

Misfiring in attack

Averaging 1.41 xG per match · -0.17 above the France: Ligue 1 average of 1.58.

Leaky defensively

Conceding 1.65 xG per match · +0.19 vs league average of 1.45.

Model is strongest on: Result

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Brest fixtures (3/3).

Recent matches (last 4)

Sun 17 Mayvs Angers

Win 45%High confidence: 1X

Wed 13 Mayvs Strasbourg

Win 31%High confidence: X2

Sun 10 May@ Paris Saint-Germain

Win 16%High confidence: 1X

Sat 21 Mar@ Auxerre

Win 37%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INGautier LlorisCBfrom Le HavreFree transfer

INMamady DiambouDMfrom SalzburgUndisclosed

INEgil SelvikGKfrom WatfordLoan

INJoseph BoendeCMfrom KocaelisporFree transfer

OUTDaouda GuindoLBto ReimsFree transfer

OUTNoah JaunyGKto Francs BorainsFree transfer

OUTSaliou Diopto Akademisk BKFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Brest Prediction

Brest in numbers

Next match

Attack vs defence

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

More on Brest and the model