France: Ligue 1Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Le Mans vBrest

Most likely scoreline
1–0
12% of the time · 2.56 goals expected
Le Mans 42%Draw 28%Brest 30%
How we get there
Le MansstepBrest
1.60Base xG · rolling 26-match0.96
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.60Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.96

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Brest average 3.1 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
7
4
1
1
12
12
6
2
2
10
10
5
1
3
5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Le Mans fixtures & form →Brest fixtures & form →

Le Mans vs Brest — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Le Mans and Brest — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Le Mans 42% · draw 28% · Brest 30%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Le Mans predictions & form →Brest predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.