How it finished
Le Mans and Brest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 8 shots (5 on target) to Brest's 26 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Le Mans vs Brest?
Le Mans and Brest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 8 shots (5 on target) to Brest's 26 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.4.
What was the final score in Le Mans vs Brest?
Le Mans 2–2 Brest, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Le Mans 34%, the draw 27% and Brest 39%.
What were the stats in Le Mans vs Brest?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.4, Shots 8–26, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 5–23, Big chances 1–3, Corners 1–10, Saves 4–3, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Le Mans vs Brest?
Yes — both Le Mans and Brest scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Le Mans vs Brest right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brest or draw 66%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.