England vs Czechia prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK
England 87Draw 10Czechia 3
Our call before kickoff
87%
England to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
36%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
69%

How it finished

England beat Czechia 3–0. Bawler's model had England in front at 87% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEngland to win 87%England won (87% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score36%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

EnglandCzechia
3.1
Goals+2.6
0.5
EnglandCzechia
0.7
Goals+0.6
0.2
EnglandCzechia
2.3
Goals+2.0
0.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score — no64%

First half — what we expected

England
74%
to score before half-time
Czechia
19%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

England form (last 6)L W L W W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 3England 2 · Draws 0 · Czechia 1

Head to head

Jun 2021Czechia 0–1 England
Oct 2019Czechia 2–1 England
Mar 2019England 5–0 Czechia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won England vs Czechia?

England beat Czechia 3–0. Bawler's model had England in front at 87% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3.

What was the final score in England vs Czechia?

England 3–0 Czechia, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with England 87%, the draw 10% and Czechia 3%.

Did both teams score in England vs Czechia?

No. It finished 3–0, so Czechia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 36% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for England vs Czechia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said England to win 87%, it finished England won (87% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 36%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →England form →Czechia form →