Czechia vs England prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 19:45 UK
Czechia 9Draw 16England 75
Our call before kickoff
75%
England to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

England beat Czechia 2–0. Bawler's model had England in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Czechia had 6 shots (2 on target) to England's 22 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%.

CzechiaFull-time statsEngland
34%Possession66%
6Shots22
2Shots on target7
1Corners6
4Saves2
9Fouls12
2Offsides3
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEngland to win 75%England won (75% called)
Total goals3.42
Both teams to score52%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CzechiaEngland
0.8
Goals+1.7
2.6
CzechiaEngland
0.3
Goals+0.4
0.7
CzechiaEngland
0.5
Goals+1.4
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
England to score92%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Czechia
31%
to score before half-time
England
68%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 3Czechia 1 · Draws 0 · England 2

Head to head

Jun 2021Czechia 0–1 England
Oct 2019Czechia 2–1 England
Mar 2019England 5–0 Czechia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Czechia vs England?

England beat Czechia 2–0. Bawler's model had England in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Czechia had 6 shots (2 on target) to England's 22 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%.

What was the final score in Czechia vs England?

Czechia 0–2 England, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Czechia 9%, the draw 16% and England 75%.

What were the stats in Czechia vs England?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Shots 6–22, Shots on target 2–7, Corners 1–6, Saves 4–2, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Czechia vs England?

No. It finished 0–2, so Czechia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Czechia vs England right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said England to win 75%, it finished England won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Czechia form →England form →