Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Sparta Rotterdam had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 16 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Sparta Rotterdam had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 16 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 FC Utrecht, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Rotterdam 33%, the draw 27% and FC Utrecht 40%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.9, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–3, Corners 5–7, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 1–2.
Yes — both Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Utrecht or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.