Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 17:45 UK
Sparta Rotterdam 33Draw 27FC Utrecht 40
Our call before kickoff
67%
FC Utrecht or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Sparta Rotterdam had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 16 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.

Sparta…Full-time statsFC Utrecht
56%Possession44%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.9
14Shots16
5Shots on target4
9Shots inside box10
4Big chances3
5Corners7
1Saves2
10Fouls13
1Offsides2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Utrecht or draw 67%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sparta RotterdamFC Utrecht
1.3
Goals+0.2
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Utrecht to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Sparta Rotterdam to score74%
Under 3.5 goals68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Sparta Rotterdam 2 · Draws 1 · FC Utrecht 2
FC Utrecht in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2026FC Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2025Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 FC Utrecht
May 2025FC Utrecht 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 FC Utrecht
May 2024FC Utrecht 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Sparta Rotterdam had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 16 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 FC Utrecht, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Rotterdam 33%, the draw 27% and FC Utrecht 40%.

What were the stats in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.9, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–3, Corners 5–7, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 1–2.

Did both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Yes — both Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Utrecht or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Sparta Rotterdam form →FC Utrecht form →