Netherlands: EredivisieSaturday 22 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Heerenveen vPEC Zwolle

Most likely scoreline
2–1
10% of the time · 3.30 goals expected
Heerenveen 63%Draw 23%PEC Zwolle 14%
How we get there
HeerenveenstepPEC Zwolle
2.29Base xG · rolling 26-match1.02
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.29Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.02

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Heerenveen average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Zwolle average 3.1 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
4
2
1
1
8
9
4
1
2
10
10
5
2
3
7
7
4
1
4
4
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Heerenveen fixtures & form →PEC Zwolle fixtures & form →

Heerenveen vs Zwolle — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Heerenveen and Zwolle — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Heerenveen 63% · draw 23% · Zwolle 14%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Heerenveen predictions & form →Zwolle predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.