Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 20:00 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 20:00 UK
Heerenveen 59Draw 22PEC Zwolle 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Heerenveen or draw
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

PEC Zwolle beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave PEC Zwolle 19%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Heerenveen had 18 shots (5 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 20 (7), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.

HeerenveenFull-time statsPEC Zwolle
64%Possession36%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.4
18Shots20
5Shots on target7
8Shots inside box10
1Big chances2
5Corners3
5Saves5
6Fouls13
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHeerenveen or draw 81%PEC Zwolle won (19% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
2.0
Goals+0.9
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Heerenveen to score87%
Over 1.5 goals82%
PEC Zwolle to score66%
Under 3.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
PEC Zwolle in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026SC Heerenveen 4–2 PEC Zwolle
Nov 2025PEC Zwolle 2–1 SC Heerenveen
Feb 2025PEC Zwolle 1–1 SC Heerenveen
Oct 2024SC Heerenveen 1–1 PEC Zwolle
Jul 2024SC Heerenveen 5–2 PEC Zwolle
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

PEC Zwolle beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave PEC Zwolle 19%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Heerenveen had 18 shots (5 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 20 (7), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Heerenveen 0–2 PEC Zwolle, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heerenveen 59%, the draw 22% and PEC Zwolle 19%.

What were the stats in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.4, Shots 18–20, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 5–5, Fouls 6–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

No. It finished 0–2, so Heerenveen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heerenveen or draw 81%, it finished PEC Zwolle won (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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