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Bawler / TURKEY: Super Lig / Karagumruk

Karagumruk

TURKEY: Super Lig

Karagumruk operate as a narrow defensive unit with marginal attacking output, posting 1.24 xG for against 1.33 conceded—a profile that suggests tight, low-scoring contests rather than expansive football. Their recent record shows alternating results across four settled fixtures, a pattern reflective of their thin margins for error. With no fixtures currently in the prediction window, the model remains primed for their next assignment. Bawler's banker selections on Karagumruk have landed at 50%, indicating the team's volatility rewards selective, rather than broad-brush, backing.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.24-0.16 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.33+0.01 vs league
◇ = TURKEY: Super Lig average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Karagumruk were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the TURKEY: Super Lig average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Karagumruk are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
0123@ Kayserispor: actual 0, xG 1.25vs Rizespor: actual 2, xG 1.23vs Eyupspor: actual 1, xG 1.26vs Genclerbirligi: actual 1, xG 1.20@KayserRizespEyupspGencle
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -0.9 goals vs xG (-0.24/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Karagumruk actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.24 xG per match · -0.16 above the TURKEY: Super Lig average of 1.40.
> Form · last 4
Overall: 2W / 0D / 2L · Avg goals 1.0 for, 1.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Karagumruk's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.24
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.33
per match
Banker Hit Rate
50%
2/4 picks

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler