Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 23 Aug · 15:00 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 23 Aug · 15:00 UK
Lommel SK 37Draw 26KVC Westerlo 37
Our call before kickoff
63%
Lommel SK or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Lommel SK beat KVC Westerlo 4–0. Bawler's model had Lommel SK in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Lommel SK had 13 shots (6 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 17 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

Lommel SKFull-time statsKVC Westerlo
44%Possession56%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
13Shots17
6Shots on target4
8Shots inside box11
4Big chances0
5Corners4
4Saves2
5Fouls10
2Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLommel SK or draw 63%Lommel SK won (37% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Lommel SKKVC Westerlo
1.5
Goals
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
Lommel SK to score77%
KVC Westerlo to score77%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Lommel SK 2 · Draws 0 · KVC Westerlo 3
KVC Westerlo in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2022Lommel 2–1 Westerlo
Feb 2022Westerlo 3–0 Lommel
Nov 2021Lommel 0–1 Westerlo
Oct 2021Westerlo 2–0 Lommel
Mar 2021Lommel 1–0 Westerlo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo?

Lommel SK beat KVC Westerlo 4–0. Bawler's model had Lommel SK in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Lommel SK had 13 shots (6 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 17 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo?

Lommel SK 4–0 KVC Westerlo, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 37%, the draw 26% and KVC Westerlo 37%.

What were the stats in Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 13–17, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 4–0, Corners 5–4, Saves 4–2, Fouls 5–10, Offsides 2–1.

Did both teams score in Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo?

No. It finished 4–0, so KVC Westerlo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lommel SK or draw 63%, it finished Lommel SK won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Lommel SK form →KVC Westerlo form →