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Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Lille
Lille crest

Lille

FRANCE: Ligue 1

Lille operate as a balanced, moderately efficient attacking side with an xG profile of 1.62 scored against 1.43 conceded, suggesting a team that creates chances at a respectable rate without dominating possession phases. Recent form shows a mixed W-D-L sequence across their last six, though three wins in that span indicate resilience rather than collapse. With no fixtures currently scheduled in the prediction window, the model awaits their next assignment; upcoming matches will be framed against this baseline of controlled attacking play and modest defensive solidity. Bawler's banker selections on Lille have landed at 33 per cent historically, suggesting the market occasionally overestimates their ceiling.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.62+0.22 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.430.06 vs league
◇ = FRANCE: Ligue 1 average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Lille were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Lille are above average there.

> xG performance · last 6 matches
0123@ Aston Villa: actual 0, xG 1.24@ Marseille: actual 2, xG 1.37vs Nice: actual 0, xG 2.59@ Paris: actual 1, xG 1.10@ Monaco: actual 1, xG 1.77vs AJ Auxerre: actual 0, xG 1.63@Aston @MarseiNice@Paris@MonacoAJ Aux
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -5.7 goals vs xG (-0.95/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Lille actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.22 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 3W / 1D / 2L · Avg goals 0.7 for, 0.8 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Lille's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
6
6 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.62
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.43
per match
Banker Hit Rate
33%
2/6 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Lille matches
33%
hit rate over 6 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Lille fixture, the model lands 2 out of 6 (33%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Recent matches (last 6)

> More from Bawler