Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Metz prediction: Bawler's model rates Metz at 1.25 expected goals scored and 1.74 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Metz fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Metz sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.25 expected goals a game and conceding 1.74. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.83 goals a game against 1.25 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Metz have been correct 50% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Metz compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.35 scored, 1.50 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.