How it finished
Chile beat Mexico 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Mexico at 70% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chile 10%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Mexico had 15 shots (3 on target) to Chile's 9 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Mexico vs Chile?
Chile beat Mexico 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Mexico at 70% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chile 10%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Mexico had 15 shots (3 on target) to Chile's 9 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Mexico vs Chile?
Mexico 0–2 Chile, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mexico 70%, the draw 19% and Chile 10%.
What were the stats in Mexico vs Chile?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.2, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 0–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Mexico vs Chile?
No. It finished 0–2, so Mexico failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Mexico vs Chile right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mexico to win 70%, it finished Chile won (10% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No.