Portsmouth
Portsmouth operate as a controlled, low-variance side, generating just 1.15 xG per match whilst maintaining a tight defensive profile at 1.10 conceded. Recent form shows resilience over thrust—one win and three draws across their last four settled fixtures underlines a team grinding out results rather than dominating. With no fixtures currently in window, the focus remains on their underlying metrics: a side built to frustrate opponents and nick opportunities rather than overwhelm them. Bawler's model has backed their matches at 100% strike rate across four banker selections, suggesting the platform's Poisson framework captures Portsmouth's low-drama, low-variance nature effectively.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Portsmouth were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Portsmouth are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Portsmouth actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Portsmouth's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.