How it finished
Portsmouth beat Lincoln City 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln City at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Portsmouth 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Lincoln City had 15 shots (5 on target) to Portsmouth's 13 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 1.2, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lincoln City vs Portsmouth?
Portsmouth beat Lincoln City 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln City at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Portsmouth 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Lincoln City had 15 shots (5 on target) to Portsmouth's 13 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 1.2, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lincoln City vs Portsmouth?
Lincoln City 1–3 Portsmouth, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lincoln City 43%, the draw 28% and Portsmouth 29%.
What were the stats in Lincoln City vs Portsmouth?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 4–4, Fouls 17–15, Offsides 9–2, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Lincoln City vs Portsmouth?
Yes — both Lincoln City and Portsmouth scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lincoln City vs Portsmouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lincoln City or draw 71%, it finished Portsmouth won (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.