How it finished
Portugal beat Denmark 4–2. Bawler's model had Portugal in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Denmark had 12 shots (3 on target) to Portugal's 19 (10), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal beat Denmark 4–2. Bawler's model had Portugal in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Denmark had 12 shots (3 on target) to Portugal's 19 (10), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.8.
What was the final score in Denmark vs Portugal?
Denmark 2–4 Portugal, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Denmark 23%, the draw 24% and Portugal 53%.
What were the stats in Denmark vs Portugal?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.8, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–7, Saves 6–1, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Denmark vs Portugal?
Yes — both Denmark and Portugal scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Denmark vs Portugal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portugal or draw 77%, it finished Portugal won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Portugal to win 53%, it finished Landed.