Spain: La LigaWednesday 26 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Real Madrid vReal Sociedad

Most likely scoreline
2–0
10% of the time · 3.34 goals expected
Real Madrid 67%Draw 20%Real Sociedad 13%
How we get there
Real MadridstepReal Sociedad
2.35Base xG · rolling 26-match0.99
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.35Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.99

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Real Madrid average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Real Sociedad average 5.2 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
3
2
1
1
8
8
4
1
2
10
10
5
2
3
8
8
4
1
4
5
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Real Madrid fixtures & form →Real Sociedad fixtures & form →

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Real Madrid 67% · draw 20% · Real Sociedad 13%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Real Madrid predictions & form →Real Sociedad predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.