Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction — LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK
Espanyol 25Draw 25Real Madrid 49
Our call before kickoff
75%
Real Madrid or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

EspanyolFull-time statsReal Madrid
37%Possession63%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.9
8Shots21
3Shots on target8
5Shots inside box15
2Big chances3
0Corners8
6Saves2
19Fouls7
3Offsides0
5Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Madrid or draw 75%Real Madrid won (49% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

EspanyolReal Madrid
1.2
Goals+0.5
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Real Madrid to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Espanyol to score69%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Espanyol 1 · Draws 0 · Real Madrid 4
Real Madrid in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid
Sept 2025Real Madrid 2–0 Espanyol
Feb 2025Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid
Sept 2024Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol
Mar 2023Real Madrid 3–1 Espanyol
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

What was the final score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Espanyol 25%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 49%.

What were the stats in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.9, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 2–3, Corners 0–8, Saves 6–2, Fouls 19–7, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 5–1.

Did both teams score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Yes — both Espanyol and Real Madrid scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Espanyol vs Real Madrid right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 75%, it finished Real Madrid won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Espanyol form →Real Madrid form →