Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.
Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Espanyol 25%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 49%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.9, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 2–3, Corners 0–8, Saves 6–2, Fouls 19–7, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 5–1.
Yes — both Espanyol and Real Madrid scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 75%, it finished Real Madrid won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.