Scotland vs Switzerland prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 19:45 UK
Scotland 23Draw 26Switzerland 51
Our call before kickoff
77%
Switzerland or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Switzerland beat Scotland 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Scotland had 2 shots (0 on target) to Switzerland's 23 (9), with 23% of the ball against 77%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.6.

ScotlandFull-time statsSwitzerland
23%Possession77%
0.1Expected goals (xG)1.6
2Shots23
0Shots on target9
1Shots inside box9
0Big chances1
2Corners6
6Saves0
14Fouls13
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSwitzerland or draw 77%Switzerland won (51% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score52%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ScotlandSwitzerland
1.0
Goals+0.6
1.7
ScotlandSwitzerland
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.5
ScotlandSwitzerland
0.7
Goals+0.5
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Switzerland to score81%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Scotland to score65%

First half — what we expected

Scotland
37%
to score before half-time
Switzerland
52%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Scotland 0 · Draws 1 · Switzerland 0

Head to head

Jun 2024Scotland 1–1 Switzerland
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Scotland vs Switzerland?

Switzerland beat Scotland 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Scotland had 2 shots (0 on target) to Switzerland's 23 (9), with 23% of the ball against 77%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Scotland vs Switzerland?

Scotland 0–3 Switzerland, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Scotland 23%, the draw 26% and Switzerland 51%.

What were the stats in Scotland vs Switzerland?

Full-time: Possession 23%–77%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–1.6, Shots 2–23, Shots on target 0–9, Shots inside box 1–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 2–6, Saves 6–0, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Scotland vs Switzerland?

No. It finished 0–3, so Scotland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Scotland vs Switzerland right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Switzerland or draw 77%, it finished Switzerland won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Scotland form →Switzerland form →