How it finished
Scotland beat North Macedonia 2–0. Bawler's model had Scotland in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. North Macedonia had 9 shots (0 on target) to Scotland's 25 (10), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won North Macedonia vs Scotland?
Scotland beat North Macedonia 2–0. Bawler's model had Scotland in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. North Macedonia had 9 shots (0 on target) to Scotland's 25 (10), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.2.
What was the final score in North Macedonia vs Scotland?
North Macedonia 0–2 Scotland, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with North Macedonia 8%, the draw 18% and Scotland 74%.
What were the stats in North Macedonia vs Scotland?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.2, Shots 9–25, Shots on target 0–10, Shots inside box 5–18, Big chances 0–6, Corners 1–9, Saves 6–0, Fouls 20–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in North Macedonia vs Scotland?
No. It finished 0–2, so North Macedonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for North Macedonia vs Scotland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Scotland to win 74%, it finished Scotland won (74% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 38%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.