Bawler / World: World Cup / Spain
Team profile

Spain Prediction

Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
17.1
a game
6.3 faced
On target
5.8
a game
1.5 faced
Goals
1.8 – 0.1
scored – conceded
a game, 8 matches
Corners
5.7
a game
2.2 against

Spain prediction: Bawler's model rates Spain at 1.67 expected goals scored and 1.18 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 58% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Spain fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Spain carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.67 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. Form is with them: 5 straight wins. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Spain have been correct 58% of the time.

Spain in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 0.1
Home 2.0Away 1.3
5.7
Corners · per game
give up 2.2
Home 6.7Away 4.7
17.1
Shots · per game
faced 6.3
Home 22.3Away 10.3
5.8
On target · per game
faced 1.5
Home 8.7Away 3.0
Last 6 games
19 Jul
1-0
vs Argentina
-
14 Jul
2-0
@ France
1-7
10 Jul
2-1
vs Belgium
5-1
06 Jul
1-0
@ Portugal
7-3
02 Jul
3-0
vs Austria
9-0
27 Jun
1-0
@ Uruguay
6-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Spain compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.67
Above average
Goals against
1.18
Tighter than most
Record
9W 3D 0L
12 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 0.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.67
Conceded1.18

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.67 xG per match · +0.35 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.18 xG per match · -0.20 vs league average of 1.38.
On a 5-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

How Bawler has done on Spain

58%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 12
Goals (Over/Under)55%6/11

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

More on Spain and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly