Telstar
Telstar's underlying profile is decidedly fragile: they're outscoring opponents by thin margins (1.72 xG for, 2.01 against), relying on clinical finishing to mask a leaky defence. Their recent four-game winning streak has papered over this vulnerability, and whilst they've banked results consistently, the model flags persistent defensive exposure. With no fixtures in the immediate window, the focus remains on their structural imbalance—a pattern Bawler's approach has navigated effectively, posting a 75% hit rate on Telstar selections across recent settled matches.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Telstar were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Netherlands: Eredivisie average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Telstar are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Telstar actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Telstar's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.