Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Udinese
Team profile

Udinese Prediction

Per-game numbers from 39 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.5
a game
13.1 faced
On target
3.8
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 39 matches
Next match
24%
Udinese win chance
vs Como · Sat 22 Aug 16:30

Udinese prediction: for Udinese's next match — Udinese vs Como on Saturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Como are favoured (46%).

Udinese sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.17 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.67 goals a game against 1.17 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Next up is Como, where the model has them as underdogs at 24%.

Udinese in numbers

39 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 0.9Away 1.4
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 4.5Away 4.2
11.5
Shots · per game
faced 13.1
Home 12.7Away 10.2
3.8
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 3.8Away 3.8
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-0
vs Padova
0-5
24 May
0-1
@ Napoli
3-3
17 May
0-1
vs Cremonese
5-5
09 May
2-0
@ Cagliari
4-8
02 May
2-0
vs Torino
5-2
27 Apr
3-3
@ Lazio
5-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Como · Saturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
24%
Udinese
Draw
30%
Loss
46%
Como
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Udinese compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.17
Below average
Goals against
1.28
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 3L
6 settled
Real goals
0.7 – 0.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.17
Conceded1.28

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.24 scored, 1.32 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Result
Udinese matches give the model a harder read here — 1/4 (25%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Udinese

33%
of high-confidence calls correct — 2 of 6, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Result25%1/4
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sun 24 May@ Napoli
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Cremonese
High confidence: 1X
Sat 09 May@ Cagliari
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Aprvs Parma
High confidence: 1X
Mon 06 Aprvs Como
High confidence: X2
Fri 20 Mar@ Genoa
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INIdrissa GueyeSTfrom Metz€6m
INAlessandro ZanoliRMfrom Napoli€5m
INNicolò ZanioloSTfrom Galatasaray€5m
INUnai GómezAMfrom Athletic Club€4.5m
INGiorgi ChakvetadzeLMfrom WatfordUndisclosed
INMërgim VojvodaRWfrom Como€1.5m
OUTArthur AttaCMto Fiorentina€25m
OUTThomas KristensenCBto AtalantaLoan
OUTLuca KjerrumgaardSTto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTSimone PafundiAMto CatanzaroLoan
OUTIker BravoSTto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTRazvan SavaGKto Universitatea CraiovaUndisclosed
OUTMartín PayeroCMto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTJordan ZemuraLMto WatfordLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Udinese and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly