World Cup 2026 — kicks off 11 June.See predictions →
Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Udinese
Udinese crest

Udinese

Italy: Serie A

Udinese operate as a balanced but profligate unit, creating marginally more than they concede (1.21 xG for vs 1.25 against) yet converting with notable inefficiency that masks underlying solidity. Recent form has been choppy—two wins bookended by losses and a draw across five matches—leaving them mid-table volatile rather than directional. With no immediate fixture scheduled, the model will recalibrate as the next opponent crystallises. Bawler's recent banker selections on Udinese have landed at 40%, suggesting the xG profile alone warrants caution on heavily weighted plays.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.17-0.04 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.280.07 vs league
◇ = Italy: Serie A average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Udinese were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Udinese are above average there.

> xG performance · last 6 matches
0123@ Genoa: actual 2, xG 0.98vs Como: actual 0, xG 1.05vs Parma: actual 0, xG 1.25@ Cagliari: actual 2, xG 1.35vs Cremonese: actual 0, xG 1.40@ Napoli: actual 0, xG 0.99@GenoaComoParma@CagliaCremon@Napoli
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -3.0 goals vs xG (-0.50/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Udinese actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Tough market: Result
Udinese matches give Bawler a harder read here — 1/4 (25%). Approach with caution.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 2W / 1D / 3L · Avg goals 0.7 for, 0.5 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Udinese's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
6
6 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.17
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.28
per match
Banker Hit Rate
33%
2/6 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Udinese matches
33%
hit rate over 6 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Udinese fixture, the model lands 2 out of 6 (33%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Udinese by market
Result25%1/4
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Udinese fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Udinese matches.

> Recent matches (last 6)

> More from Bawler