Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Werder Bremen
Team profile

Werder Bremen Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.1
a game
13.8 faced
On target
4.2
a game
5.2 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Corners
4.6
a game
5.0 against

Werder Bremen prediction: Bawler's model rates Werder Bremen at 1.50 expected goals scored and 1.62 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Werder Bremen fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Werder Bremen sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.62. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.50 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Werder Bremen have been correct 60% of the time.

Werder Bremen in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.1Away 1.1
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
Home 4.9Away 4.2
13.1
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
Home 15.4Away 10.8
4.2
On target · per game
faced 5.2
Home 4.7Away 3.6
Last 6 games
16 May
0-2
vs Dortmund
4-5
09 May
0-1
@ Hoffenheim
3-8
02 May
1-3
vs Augsburg
8-2
26 Apr
1-1
@ Stuttgart
2-14
18 Apr
3-1
vs Hamburger SV
7-3
12 Apr
1-3
@ FC Koln
5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Werder Bremen compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.50
Below average
Goals against
1.62
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.50
Conceded1.62

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.50 xG per match · -0.16 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Werder Bremen matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Werder Bremen

60%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 5
Goals (Over/Under)33%1/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INOskar WójcikCBfrom Cracovia€3m
INKarl HeinGKfrom Arsenal€3m
INLudovit ReisAMfrom Club BruggeFree transfer
INKenny QuetantSTfrom Le HavreFree transfer
INChukiAMfrom Real ValladolidFree transfer
INCedric IttenSTfrom Fortuna DüsseldorfFree transfer
INAlexander SchlagerGKfrom SalzburgFree transfer
INDariusz StalmachCMfrom MagdeburgUndisclosed
OUTMio BackhausGKto Freiburg€12m
OUTRomano SchmidAMto Frosinone€8.5m
OUTLeonardo BittencourtDMto Energie CottbusFree transfer
OUTLeon OpitzAMto VfL OsnabrückLoan
OUTWesley AdehCBto Preussen MünsterLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Werder Bremen and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly