England: ChampionshipSunday 23 Aug, 11:00 UTC

West Bromwich Albion vBurnley

Most likely scoreline
1–0
15% of the time · 2.39 goals expected
West Bromwich Albion 57%Draw 29%Burnley 14%
How we get there
West Bromwich AlbionstepBurnley
1.67Base xG · rolling 26-match0.72
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.67Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.72

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

West Brom average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Burnley average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
7
2
1
1
15
11
4
1
2
13
9
3
1
3
7
5
2
4
3
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

West Bromwich Albion fixtures & form →Burnley fixtures & form →

West Brom vs Burnley — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between West Brom and Burnley — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: West Brom 57% · draw 29% · Burnley 14%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

West Brom predictions & form →Burnley predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.