West Bromwich Albion beat Burnley 3–1. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. West Bromwich Albion had 11 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
West Bromwich Albion beat Burnley 3–1. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. West Bromwich Albion had 11 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.
West Bromwich Albion 3–1 Burnley, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Bromwich Albion 37%, the draw 28% and Burnley 34%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 8–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both West Bromwich Albion and Burnley scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Bromwich Albion or draw 66%, it finished West Bromwich Albion won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.