> world_cup_2026 · group_b · qatar
Qatar at World Cup 2026
Bawler's full forecast for Qatar at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group B alongside Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Switzerland. Derived from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin before kickoff.
FIFA Ranking · #59
> path_to_trophy()
Qatar's path to the trophy
Probability Qatar reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
> group_b()
Group B forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Switzerland | #15 | 73.8% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 13.1% | 3.49% |
 Canada | #48 | 55.5% | 34.8% | 16.3% | 7.72% | 1.82% |
| Qatar | #59 | 39.4% | 21.9% | 7.84% | 2.52% | 0.27% |
 Bosnia & Herzegovina | #62 | 31.3% | 19.1% | 6.70% | 2.34% | 0.27% |
> fixtures()
Qatar's World Cup fixtures
2 matches — Bawler's free Banker pick on each.
> trust = math
Why this forecast is honest
Every morning at 07:30 UK we snapshot the day's predictions and publish a SHA-256 fingerprint of that snapshot to the Bitcoin blockchain via OpenTimestamps. The proof lands publicly before any of that day's matches kick off, and anyone can independently verify, offline, that the numbers above weren't edited after results came in.
See /verify for the proof files, a 30-second verification walkthrough, and an explanation of why no tipster site that edits its history could fake this if they tried.