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Bawler / England: Premier League / Arsenal
Arsenal crest

Arsenal

England: Premier League

Arsenal's xG profile reveals an attacking side that creates consistently (1.57 xG per match) whilst maintaining disciplined defensive shape (1.14 xG conceded), suggesting a team capable of controlling matches without relying on clinical finishing alone. Recent form shows resilience across five settled fixtures, with three wins and two draws indicating steady performance and minimal defensive lapses. With no immediate fixtures in the current window, the model's forward focus remains on Arsenal's underlying stability: their tight xG differential has proved predictive in previous windows, and Bawler's 80% banker hit rate on this side reflects the reliability of their structural advantages.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.51+0.06 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.230.24 vs league
◇ = England: Premier League average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Arsenal were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the England: Premier League average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Arsenal are above average there.

> xG performance · last 7 matches
0123@ Sporting: actual 1, xG 1.21vs Sporting: actual 0, xG 1.25@ Atlético Madrid: actual 0, xG 1.66@ West Ham: actual 1, xG 1.75vs Burnley: actual 1, xG 1.98@ Crystal Palace: actual 2, xG 1.47@ PSG: actual 1, xG 1.29@SportiSporti@Atléti@West HBurnle@Crysta@PSG
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -4.6 goals vs xG (-0.66/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Arsenal actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.23 xG per match · -0.24 vs league average of 1.47.
Bawler's edge: Result
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Arsenal fixtures (5/5).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 4W / 3D / 0L · Avg goals 0.9 for, 0.3 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Arsenal's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
7
7 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.51
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.23
per match
Banker Hit Rate
86%
6/7 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Arsenal matches
86%
hit rate over 7 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Arsenal fixture, the model lands 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Arsenal by market
Result100%5/5
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Arsenal fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Arsenal matches.

> Recent matches (last 7)

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