Austria Vienna and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Austria Vienna had 8 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 9 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Austria Vienna and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Austria Vienna had 8 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 9 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.
Austria Vienna 0–0 Braga, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austria Vienna 20%, the draw 24% and Braga 56%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.4, Shots 8–9, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 17–17, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Austria Vienna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga or draw 80%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.