How it finished
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Azerbaijan at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Azerbaijan had 25 shots (5 on target) to Liechtenstein's 4 (0), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Azerbaijan at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Azerbaijan had 25 shots (5 on target) to Liechtenstein's 4 (0), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.1.
What was the final score in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Azerbaijan 0–0 Liechtenstein, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Azerbaijan 78%, the draw 16% and Liechtenstein 6%.
What were the stats in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Full-time: Possession 74%–26%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.1, Shots 25–4, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 16–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–0, Saves 0–5, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
No. It finished 0–0, so Azerbaijan failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 40% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Azerbaijan to win 78%, it finished Draw (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 40%, it finished No.