Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bodo/Glimt had 21 shots (9 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 3 (2), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bodo/Glimt had 21 shots (9 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 3 (2), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.
Bodo/Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bodo/Glimt 57%, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 22%.
Full-time: Possession 80%–20%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.2, Shots 21–3, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 14–1, Big chances 7–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 3–0, so NEC Nijmegen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bodo/Glimt or draw 78%, it finished Bodo/Glimt won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 88%, it finished Landed.