Europe: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 25 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vNEC Nijmegen

Most likely scoreline
20
11% of the time · 2.90 goals expected
Bodo/Glimt 60%Draw 26%NEC Nijmegen 14%
How we get there
Bodo/GlimtstepNEC Nijmegen
2.01Base xG · rolling 26-match0.89
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.01Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.89

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Bodo/Glimt average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (8 competitive matches). Nijmegen average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
5
2
1
1
11
10
4
1
2
11
10
4
1
3
7
7
3
1
4
4
3
1
5
2
1
1
6
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Bodo/Glimt vs Nijmegen — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Bodo/Glimt and Nijmegen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Bodo/Glimt 60% · draw 26% · Nijmegen 14%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.