Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 25 Aug · 20:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 25 Aug · 20:00 UK
Bodo/Glimt 57Draw 21NEC Nijmegen 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
Bodo/Glimt or draw
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
70%

How it finished

Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bodo/Glimt had 21 shots (9 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 3 (2), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.

Bodo/GlimtFull-time statsNEC Nijmegen
80%Possession20%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.2
21Shots3
9Shots on target2
14Shots inside box1
7Big chances1
4Corners2
2Saves7
10Fouls8
1Offsides3
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBodo/Glimt or draw 78%Bodo/Glimt won (57% called)
Total goals3.63
Both teams to score67%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 88%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
2.2
Goals+0.9
1.4
14.0
Shots+6.0
8.0
7.4
On target+4.2
3.3
4.7
Corners+1.6
3.1
Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
7.2
Shots+3.6
3.6
3.2
On target+1.7
1.5
2.2
Corners+0.8
1.4
Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
1.6
Goals+0.6
1.0
6.8
Shots+2.4
4.4
4.3
On target+2.5
1.8
2.5
Corners+0.9
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Bodo/Glimt to score89%
Over 1.5 goals88%
NEC Nijmegen to score75%
Over 2.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

Bodo/Glimt
65%
to score before half-time
NEC Nijmegen
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
7.21st-half shots3.6
3.21st-half shots on target1.5
2.21st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

66%Chance of 6+ shots19%
42%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
78%Chance of 2+ shots on target41%
38%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
84%Chance of 1+ corners70%
37%Chance of 3+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Bodo/Glimt7.26.8
Shots · NEC Nijmegen3.64.4
Shots on target · Bodo/Glimt3.24.3
Shots on target · NEC Nijmegen1.51.8
Corners · Bodo/Glimt2.22.5
Corners · NEC Nijmegen1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
NEC Nijmegen in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bodo/Glimt had 21 shots (9 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 3 (2), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Bodo/Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bodo/Glimt 57%, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 22%.

What were the stats in Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Full-time: Possession 80%–20%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.2, Shots 21–3, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 14–1, Big chances 7–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

No. It finished 3–0, so NEC Nijmegen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bodo/Glimt or draw 78%, it finished Bodo/Glimt won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 88%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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