How it finished
SV Elversberg beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Borussia Mönchengladbach at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SV Elversberg 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7. Borussia Mönchengladbach had 25 shots (6 on target) to SV Elversberg's 14 (10), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
SV Elversberg beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Borussia Mönchengladbach at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SV Elversberg 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7. Borussia Mönchengladbach had 25 shots (6 on target) to SV Elversberg's 14 (10), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.4.
What was the final score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 SV Elversberg, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Borussia Mönchengladbach 53%, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 23%.
What were the stats in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–2.4, Shots 25–14, Shots on target 6–10, Shots inside box 19–10, Big chances 3–7, Corners 13–4, Saves 6–2, Fouls 18–9, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
Yes — both Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg scored, finishing 3–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 77%, it finished SV Elversberg won (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 53%, it finished Missed.