How it finished
Denmark beat Wales 2–0. Bawler's model had Denmark in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Denmark had 20 shots (4 on target) to Wales' 10 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Denmark vs Wales?
Denmark beat Wales 2–0. Bawler's model had Denmark in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Denmark had 20 shots (4 on target) to Wales' 10 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Denmark vs Wales?
Denmark 2–0 Wales, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Denmark 74%, the draw 16% and Wales 10%.
What were the stats in Denmark vs Wales?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Denmark vs Wales?
No. It finished 2–0, so Wales failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Denmark vs Wales right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Denmark to win 74%, it finished Denmark won (74% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.