How it finished
Faroe Islands and Slovakia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Slovakia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Faroe Islands had 15 shots (6 on target) to Slovakia's 15 (4), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
Faroe Islands and Slovakia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Slovakia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Faroe Islands had 15 shots (6 on target) to Slovakia's 15 (4), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Faroe Islands 29%, the draw 28% and Slovakia 43%.
What were the stats in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.8, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–10, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
Yes — both Faroe Islands and Slovakia scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Faroe Islands vs Slovakia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovakia or draw 71%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.