How it finished
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Cincinnati in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. FC Cincinnati had 14 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 16 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.7, so New York City FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Cincinnati in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. FC Cincinnati had 14 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 16 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.7, so New York City FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cincinnati 43%, the draw 25% and New York City FC 32%.
What were the stats in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.7, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 7–4, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Yes — both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Cincinnati or draw 68%, it finished FC Cincinnati won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.