How it finished
AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 48%, the draw 29% and AZ Alkmaar 23%.
What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 5–1, Fouls 23–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Yes — both FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Utrecht or draw 77%, it finished AZ Alkmaar won (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.