How it finished
FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. Bawler's model had FC Utrecht in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. Bawler's model had FC Utrecht in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
FC Utrecht 3–1 Willem II, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 65%, the draw 20% and Willem II 16%.
What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 24–9, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
Yes — both FC Utrecht and Willem II scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Utrecht vs Willem II right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Utrecht to win 65%, it finished FC Utrecht won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes.