Fleetwood Town beat Sheffield United 1–0. Bawler's model had Fleetwood Town in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Fleetwood Town had 11 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 10 (4), with 34% of the ball against 66%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Fleetwood Town beat Sheffield United 1–0. Bawler's model had Fleetwood Town in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Fleetwood Town had 11 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 10 (4), with 34% of the ball against 66%.
Fleetwood Town 1–0 Sheffield United, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fleetwood Town 38%, the draw 26% and Sheffield United 36%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Shots 11–10, Shots on target 5–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 1–6, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Sheffield United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fleetwood Town or draw 64%, it finished Fleetwood Town won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.