How it finished
Chelsea beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chelsea 35%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 14 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fulham vs Chelsea?
Chelsea beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chelsea 35%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 14 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Fulham vs Chelsea?
Fulham 2–3 Chelsea, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fulham 39%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 35%.
What were the stats in Fulham vs Chelsea?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.7, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–4, Corners 6–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Fulham vs Chelsea?
Yes — both Fulham and Chelsea scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fulham or draw 65%, it finished Chelsea won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.