Bawler / England: Premier League / Fulham
Team profile

Fulham Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.7
a game
11.8 faced
On target
3.7
a game
3.9 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
32%
Fulham win chance
vs Chelsea · Mon 24 Aug 19:00

Fulham prediction: for Fulham's next match — Fulham vs Chelsea on Monday 24 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Chelsea are favoured (42%).

Fulham sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.44. Next up is Chelsea, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

Fulham in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.6Away 0.9
4.9
Corners · per game
give up 5.5
Home 5.5Away 4.4
12.7
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
Home 14.2Away 11.3
3.7
On target · per game
faced 3.9
Home 4.0Away 3.4
Last 6 games
24 May
2-0
vs Newcastle
6-6
17 May
1-1
@ Wolverhampton
6-3
09 May
0-1
vs Bournemouth
11-2
02 May
0-3
@ Arsenal
4-3
25 Apr
1-0
vs Aston Villa
2-5
18 Apr
0-0
@ Brentford
3-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Chelsea · Monday 24 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
32%
Fulham
Draw
27%
Loss
42%
Chelsea
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Fulham compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Below average
Goals against
1.44
Tighter than most
Record
2W 2D 1L
5 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.42
Conceded1.44

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Fulham

40%
of high-confidence calls correct — 2 of 5, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)0%0/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sun 24 Mayvs Newcastle United
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
High confidence: X2
Sat 09 Mayvs AFC Bournemouth
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Apr@ Brentford
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Burnley
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INGonzalo GarcíaSTfrom Real Madrid€40m
INShea CharlesDMfrom Southampton€35m
INCésar Palaciosfrom Real Madrid€10m
INJonah Kusi-AsareSTfrom Bayern München€6m
OUTHarry WilsonRWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTSasa LukicDMto Ipswich Town€11m
OUTIssa DiopCBto Ipswich Town€10m
OUTRaul JiménezSTto Wolverhampton WanderersFree transfer
OUTSteven BendaGKto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJonathan EsengaLBto ElfsborgFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

LenoLenoGKP · £4.5m · 3.3% owned3.0 pts
IwobiIwobiMID · £5.5m · 1% owned3.0 pts
BasseyBasseyDEF · £4.5m · 0.6% owned2.9 pts
RobinsonRobinsonDEF · £4.5m · 2.3% owned2.7 pts
GonzaloGonzaloFWD · £6.0m · 1.8% owned2.5 pts
Next 5:CHE (H)SUN (A)CRY (H)LIV (A)MUN (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Fulham and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly