Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK
Gibraltar 42Draw 28Andorra 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Gibraltar or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
69%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Gibraltar and Andorra drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Gibraltar at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Gibraltar had 5 shots (1 on target) to Andorra's 11 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 0.7.

GibraltarFull-time statsAndorra
44%Possession56%
0.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
5Shots11
1Shots on target4
4Shots inside box6
0Big chances3
4Corners4
4Saves0
15Fouls24
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGibraltar or draw 70%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.60
Both teams to score53%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GibraltarAndorra
1.4
Goals+0.3
1.2
GibraltarAndorra
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
GibraltarAndorra
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Gibraltar to score76%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Andorra to score69%

First half — what we expected

Gibraltar
47%
to score before half-time
Andorra
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 3Gibraltar 2 · Draws 1 · Andorra 0

Head to head

Sept 2024Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra
Nov 2022Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra
Jun 2021Andorra 0–0 Gibraltar
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Gibraltar and Andorra drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Gibraltar at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Gibraltar had 5 shots (1 on target) to Andorra's 11 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Gibraltar 0–0 Andorra, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gibraltar 42%, the draw 28% and Andorra 30%.

What were the stats in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–0.7, Shots 5–11, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 0–3, Corners 4–4, Saves 4–0, Fouls 15–24, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

No. It finished 0–0, so Gibraltar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gibraltar vs Andorra right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gibraltar or draw 70%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Gibraltar form →Andorra form →