Hull City vs Manchester United prediction — Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK
Hull City 10Draw 17Manchester United 73
Our call before kickoff
73%
Manchester United to win
Missed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
65%

How it finished

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.

Hull CityFull-time statsManchester…
28%Possession72%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.8
8Shots21
4Shots on target5
5Shots inside box15
3Big chances2
1Corners6
5Saves2
10Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callManchester United to win 73%Hull City won (10% called)
Total goals3.32
Both teams to score53%No
Graded pickManchester United or draw 90%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Hull CityManchester United
0.8
Goals+1.6
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Manchester United to score92%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.6 / match
Manchester United in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Hull City vs Manchester United?

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hull City 10%, the draw 17% and Manchester United 73%.

What were the stats in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.8, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 3–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester United?

No. It finished 2–0, so Manchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United to win 73%, it finished Hull City won (10% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Manchester United or draw 90%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Hull City form →Manchester United form →