How it finished
Hungary beat Georgia 1–0. Bawler's model had Hungary in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Hungary had 26 shots (8 on target) to Georgia's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Hungary vs Georgia?
Hungary beat Georgia 1–0. Bawler's model had Hungary in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Hungary had 26 shots (8 on target) to Georgia's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Hungary vs Georgia?
Hungary 1–0 Georgia, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hungary 63%, the draw 23% and Georgia 14%.
What were the stats in Hungary vs Georgia?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.4, Shots 26–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 17–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 18–17, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Hungary vs Georgia?
No. It finished 1–0, so Georgia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hungary vs Georgia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hungary to win 63%, it finished Hungary won (63% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No.