Italy: Serie ASaturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Internazionale vMonza

Most likely scoreline
20
10% of the time · 2.98 goals expected
Internazionale 59%Draw 26%Monza 15%
How we get there
InternazionalestepMonza
2.03Base xG · rolling 26-match0.95
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.03Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.95

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Inter Milan average 7.5 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
5
2
1
1
10
10
5
1
2
10
10
5
1
3
7
7
3
1
4
4
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Inter Milan vs Monza — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Inter Milan and Monza — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Inter Milan 59% · draw 26% · Monza 15%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.