Internazionale vs Monza prediction — Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 17:30 UK
Internazionale 70Draw 19Monza 11
Our call before kickoff
70%
Internazionale to win
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Internazionale beat Monza 4–1. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Internazionale had 13 shots (5 on target) to Monza's 7 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.1.

InternazionaleFull-time statsMonza
71%Possession29%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.1
13Shots7
5Shots on target3
10Shots inside box6
2Big chances3
3Corners3
2Saves1
5Fouls14
0Offsides8
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInternazionale to win 70%Internazionale won (70% called)
Total goals2.95
Both teams to score46%Yes
Graded pickInternazionale or draw 89%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

InternazionaleMonza
2.2
Goals+1.4
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Internazionale to score89%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Internazionale 3 · Draws 2 · Monza 0
Monza in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2025Monza 2–2 Inter
Mar 2025Inter 3–2 Monza
Sept 2024Monza 1–1 Inter
Jan 2024Monza 1–5 Inter
Aug 2023Inter 2–0 Monza
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Internazionale vs Monza?

Internazionale beat Monza 4–1. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Internazionale had 13 shots (5 on target) to Monza's 7 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Internazionale vs Monza?

Internazionale 4–1 Monza, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Internazionale 70%, the draw 19% and Monza 11%.

What were the stats in Internazionale vs Monza?

Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 13–7, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 5–14, Offsides 0–8, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Internazionale vs Monza?

Yes — both Internazionale and Monza scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Internazionale vs Monza right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Internazionale to win 70%, it finished Internazionale won (70% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Internazionale or draw 89%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Internazionale form →Monza form →