Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK
Kauno Zalgiris 14Draw 20Besiktas 66
Our call before kickoff
66%
Besiktas to win
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Kauno Zalgiris beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kauno Zalgiris 14%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Kauno Zalgiris had 8 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 12 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.5.

Kauno…Full-time statsBesiktas
29%Possession71%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.5
8Shots12
2Shots on target4
7Shots inside box8
2Big chances0
2Corners5
4Saves1
16Fouls9
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBesiktas to win 66%Kauno Zalgiris won (14% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score53%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Kauno ZalgirisBesiktas
0.9
Goals+1.3
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Besiktas to score89%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.3 / match
Besiktas in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas?

Kauno Zalgiris beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kauno Zalgiris 14%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Kauno Zalgiris had 8 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 12 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas?

Kauno Zalgiris 1–0 Besiktas, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kauno Zalgiris 14%, the draw 20% and Besiktas 66%.

What were the stats in Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 2–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas?

No. It finished 1–0, so Besiktas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Besiktas to win 66%, it finished Kauno Zalgiris won (14% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Kauno Zalgiris form →Besiktas form →