How it finished
Lithuania beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Lithuania in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Liechtenstein had 4 shots (0 on target) to Lithuania's 16 (7), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Lithuania beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Lithuania in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Liechtenstein had 4 shots (0 on target) to Lithuania's 16 (7), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liechtenstein 16%, the draw 19% and Lithuania 65%.
What were the stats in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Full-time: Possession 27%–73%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–1.4, Shots 4–16, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 1–11, Big chances 0–2, Corners 0–8, Saves 5–0, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
No. It finished 0–2, so Liechtenstein failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lithuania to win 65%, it finished Lithuania won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No.