How it finished
Manchester City beat AFC Bournemouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Manchester City had 13 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 5 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Manchester City beat AFC Bournemouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Manchester City had 13 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 5 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Manchester City 2–1 AFC Bournemouth, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester City 53%, the draw 23% and AFC Bournemouth 24%.
What were the stats in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.6, Shots 13–5, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 5–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Yes — both Manchester City and AFC Bournemouth scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester City or draw 77%, it finished Manchester City won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Manchester City to win 53%, it finished Landed.