How it finished
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Netherlands in front at 89% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Netherlands had 22 shots (7 on target) to Serbia's 14 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Netherlands vs Serbia?
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Netherlands in front at 89% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 3. Netherlands had 22 shots (7 on target) to Serbia's 14 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Netherlands vs Serbia?
Netherlands 2–1 Serbia, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Netherlands 89%, the draw 9% and Serbia 2%.
What were the stats in Netherlands vs Serbia?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.7, Shots 22–14, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 6–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Netherlands vs Serbia?
Yes — both Netherlands and Serbia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 34% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Netherlands vs Serbia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Netherlands to win 89%, it finished Netherlands won (89% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 34%, it finished Yes.