How it finished
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Nottingham Forest 0–2 Leeds United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 52%, the draw 25% and Leeds United 23%.
What were the stats in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
No. It finished 0–2, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nottingham Forest or draw 77%, it finished Leeds United won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Nottingham Forest to win 61%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.